'A Guerra é Real': Defenda Taiwan ou dê-lhe a bomba

- GATESTONE INSTITUTE - Gordon G. Chang - OCT 18, 2021 -

U.S. President Joe Biden can reestablish deterrence by offering Taiwan a mutual defense treaty. If he does not want to do that, he should either base American nuclear weapons in Taiwan or transfer such weapons to the island so it can defend itself. Pictured: A Taiwanese Air Force F-16 fighter jet drop bombs during the annual Han Guang live-fire drill on August 25, 2016. (Photo by Sam Yeh/AFP via Getty Images)

Gordon G. Chang discorre com perspicácia o momento traumático para Taiwan ante a virtual invasão do PLA/PCCh.


  • U.S. President Joe Biden can reestablish deterrence by offering Taiwan a mutual defense treaty. If he does not want to do that, he should either base American nuclear weapons in Taiwan or transfer such weapons to the island so it can defend itself. In the 1980s, the U.S. beefed up deterrence of the Soviet Union by basing nuclear-tipped Pershing missiles in Europe.

  • China, in short, apparently believes it can run over America to make Taiwan its 34th province. To disabuse Chinese aggressors at this late date, the U.S. should ditch the decades-old "strategic ambiguity," the policy of not telling either Beijing or Taipei what it would do when conflict was imminent, and publicly offer Taipei a mutual defense treaty.

  • Taiwan has always been critically important to America. The island makes advanced chips for U.S. products, anchors America's western defense perimeter, and is a beacon of democracy. After the fall of Kabul, Taiwan is seen as the test of U.S. resolve. The U.S. should, therefore, be willing to go to extraordinary lengths to protect the island.

  • [T]here are no un-dangerous options for Washington.

  • Sha Zukang, the former Chinese ambassador for disarmament to the U.N. in Geneva, last month suggested that China create large exceptions to its announced no-first-use policy, the promise not to be the first to use nuclear weapons in a conflict.

"The island's society must be warned that they better not believe the 'rock solid' promise of the U.S. because Washington will never fight to the death with the Chinese mainland for the island's secession," the Chinese Communist Party's Global Times proclaimed on October 14, referring to Taiwan.


The words, contained in an editorial, reflects the Party's propaganda line, and that line almost certainly reflects the thinking of Chinese leaders.


There has in recent months been a dangerous erosion in deterrence. U.S. President Joe Biden can reestablish deterrence by offering Taiwan a mutual defense treaty. If he does not want to do that, he should either base American nuclear weapons in Taiwan or transfer such weapons to the island so it can defend itself.


It is clear Beijing no longer respects America, something especially evident in March when China's top two diplomats traveled to Anchorage to lecture, in derisive tones, America's secretary of state and national security advisor.


Moreover, in August, as Afghanistan was failing, Chinese propagandists went on the attack. On August 10, for instance, People's Daily, China's most authoritative publication, ran a piece titled "U.S. No Longer Has the Position of Strength for Its Arrogance and Impertinence."

At that time, Beijing propagated the notion that the U.S. could not hope to counter China because it could not deal with insurgents, the Taliban.


Moreover, Beijing wasted no time going after Taiwan's governing party, the Democratic Progressive Party. "The DPP authorities need to keep a sober head, and the secessionist forces should reserve the ability to wake up from their dreams," an editorial from Global Times, controlled by People's Daily, stated. "From what happened in Afghanistan, they should perceive that once a war breaks out in the Straits, the island's defense will collapse in hours and the U.S. military won't come to help."


China, in short, apparently believes it can run over America to make Taiwan its 34th province. To disabuse Chinese aggressors at this late date, the U.S. should ditch the decades-old "strategic ambiguity," the policy of not telling either Beijing or Taipei what it would do when conflict is imminent, and publicly offer Taipei a mutual defense treaty.


A treaty would be, of course, a sure sign of American will. Washington, when it switched diplomatic recognition to Beijing from Taipei in 1979, terminated the mutual defense treaty with Taiwan of 1954. The U.S. should admit the mistake and sign a new one, fast.


LEIA MAIS:

https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/17864/defend-taiwan-nuclear-bomb


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